To: K-list
Recieved: 1999/11/22 03:17
Subject: Re: [K-list] Is It My Imagination
From: Martin Thompson
On 1999/11/22 03:17, Martin Thompson posted thus to the K-list:
23:38:47 Sun, 21 Nov 1999
at StormXWMATnospamaol.com writes:
>As above, as below so to speak.
Well, London has been busy for a few thousand years, so I guess we're
used to it by now.
I like to look at the level behind the surface changes, so I look at
changes in business practice, technology and so on. I see the
technological revolution, which began in the 60's as transistorised
electronics and 1975 when computers began to spread out of the military
and academic fields, and the 1980's and 1990's as they invaded the
business world; currently they are entering our homes and lives, and re-
creating in a new and I think better form our old forms of communication
such as letter-writing (with e-mail): the telephone had largely done
away with this one, for instance.
I also see computer technology doubling in power every 18 months, and I
see medical knowledge doubling every 3.5 years. We can expect the
telecoms and computer industries to merge, and we can expect
manufacturing technology to replace employees with robots and, later,
nanotechnology, so that by the end of the next century, probably only a
small percentage of people will be employed by industry in much the same
way as only about 2% of the working population are employed by
agriculture (compared with about 80% at the beginning of the 19th
century, I believe). We already have less than 50% working in industry,
and we already have manufacturing plants replacing factories
(manufacturing plants are largely robotic and reprogrammable: you
provide the raw materials, program the robots, and they build what you
want - they are widely used in the computer and electronics industries
at present - a Japanese robotic manufacturing plant can actually produce
goods more cheaply than a Chinese factory paying the equivalent of USD7
per month to its employees).
We are about to enter an age of abundance: but we must make sure that
the abundance is distributed to those whose labour is no longer needed,
or it will be an age of starvation and warfare if history is anything to
go by: the world so far has been ruled by those adopting the "vile
maxim" that Adam Smith so criticized: "Everything for me and nothing for
anybody else." That has to change too, and fast.
--
Martin Thompson martinATnospamtucana.demon.co.uk
London, UK
Home Page: http://www.tucana.demon.co.uk
Free Regular Income: http://www.virtualis.com/vr/mthomps4/vrp.html
"Everything I do and say with anyone makes a difference." Gita Bellin
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